Fruit and total cancer.

1) Total fruit and total cancer risk.

Background: Almost all articles presented data stratified by gender. Therefore the choice was made to present results for men and women separately. As a consequence, results from two cohorts will not be included in the following analysis: "The Finnish Mobile Clinic Health Examination Survey Cohort" (Knekt P [7]), and "The Boyd Orr Cohort" (Maynard M [2003]. See extended table), including 1,480 cancer cases. A significant protective effect was found in the cohort of very small size (OR = 0.62; 95% CI = 0.43-0.90; P = 0.02 for Maynard M [13]), but no association was found in the other cohort (RR = 0.90; 95% CI = 0.71-1.14 for Knekt P [7]).

Men: Data for men was provided by 8 cohort, including a total of 50,210 cases.
Significant protective effects were found in 2 cohorts (Jansen MC [15], Boffetta P [18]), including 9.742 cases (19% of all cases). No other associations were found, but RRs were ≤ 1. The average RR = 0.96 (excluding incomplete data from Strandhagen E [9]).
Women: Data for women was provided by 6 cohorts, including a total of 45,502 cases.
(Non)significant protective effects were found in two cohorts of (very) small size (Shibata A [2], Cox BD [10]), including 821 cases. And a nonsignicant protective effect was found in another cohort, though the trend but not the RR was nonsignificant (George SM [22]). The average RR = 0.99.

Inclusion of intermediate levels of consumption:
Among men, (non)significant effects at any level of consumption are as follows:

  • Boffetta P (18) Nonsignificant protective at 163-246 g/day. Significant protective at ≥ 247 g/day.
  • Jansen MC (15) Significant protective at > 200 g/day.

Among women, (non)significant effects at any level of consumption are as follows:

  • George SM (22) Though the trend showed a nonsignificant protective effect, no RR differed (non)significantly from 1 at any level of consumption.
  • Boffetta P (18) Significant protective at 163-246 g/day.
  • Cox BD (10) Though risk decreased per frequency category of consumption, the cagegorized models showed no evidence for an effect at any level of consumption.
  • Shibata A (2) Significant protective at ≥ 192 g/day.

These analysis show no consistent effects at any intermediate level of consumption.


RRs for the association between total fruits and total cancer risk among men (g/day):



RRs for the association between total fruits and total cancer risk among women (g/day):


Effect moficiation.
Smoking status: Effects stratified by smoking status were provided by 3 cohorts (see extended table):

  • Takachi R (20) No effects were found among never smokers (HR = 1.12; 95% CI = 0.95-1.33; P = 0.83), or ever smokers (HR = 0.95; 95% CI = 0.79-1.14; P = 0.79).
  • Boffetta P (18) Any possibly protective effect seemed to be restricted to current smokers (HR = 0.98; 95% CI = 0.97-1.00), though the effect size was very weak. No associations were found among never smokers (HR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.99-1.01), and former smokers (HR = 0.99; 95% CI = 0.98-1.01).
  • Hung HC (11) No effects were found among never smokers (RR = 1.03; 95% CI = 0.94-1.12), past smokers (RR = 0.97; 95% CI = 0.89-1.06), or current smokers (RR = 1.07 (0.94-1.22).

In one cohort cohort, results were only given for nonsmokers vs ever smokers, categorizing past-, and current smokers into one group (Takachi R [20]). No significant effects were found in any cohort for any subgroup, stratified by smoking status. RR's were ≥ 1 among never smokers in all 3 articles, examining 4 cohorts.
Average RRs are 1.02, 0.98, and 1.00 for never, past, and current smokers, respectively.
Alcohol drinking: Results from one cohort of very large size were presented, stratified by drinking status (Boffetta P [18]). Though no significant effects were found in all 3 subgroups of drinkers, the effect size suggests any possible protective effect may be restricted to heavy drinkers (HR = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.93-1.00). No associations were found among weak drinkers (HR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.99-1.01), or moderate drinkers (HR = 0.99; 95% CI = 0.97-1.00).
Dietary supplement use: One article showed stronger evidence for a possible protective effect among non-users of multivitamins. (Pooled results from 2 cohorts; Hung HC [11]). In contrast, the effect was slightly more protective among dietary supplement users in a third cohort (Benetou V [18]). No difference in effect of dietary supplements was found in a fourth cohort (Olsen A [2005]).

Conclusion: Some protective effects were found, but these were restricted to few cohorts, inluding a small minority of the total amounts of cases. Also, the average RR's (adjusted for the amounts of cases/cohort) showed little evidence for an effect. Stratified analysis showed inconclusive evidence for a modifying effect of alcohol drinking, or use of dietary supplements. Analysis stratified by smoking status showed that any protective effect among never smokers seems very unlikely since all 3 RR's were ≥ 1.

Prospective studies of total fruit and total cancer risk (men):
AuthorCohort nameCasesRelative Risk (RR)
22) George SM (2008)The NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study35,071RR = 0.98 (0.95-1.02; P = 0.17).
20) Takachi R (2007)The JPHC Study1,925HR = 0.90 (0.77-1.07; P = 0.29).
18) Boffetta P (2010)The EPIC Study9,604HR = 0.89 (0.82-0.97; P = < 0.001).
15) Jansen MC (2004)The Zutphen Elderly Study138RR = 0.62 (0.40-0.96; P = 0.04).
11) Hung HC (2004)The Health Professionals' Follow-up Study2,500RR = 0.98.
10) Cox BD (2000)The British HALS101Fruit in winter: OR = 0.91 (0.78-1.06; P = 0.23).
Fruit in summer: OR = 1.00 (0.85-1.17; P = 0.97).
9) Strandhagen E (2000)The Study Of Men Born In 1913226No significant association (no data shown).
2) Shibata A (1992)The Leisure World Study645RR = 0.94 (0.78-1.14).
Total number of cases: 50,210Average RR = 0.96


Prospective studies of total fruit and total cancer risk (women):
AuthorCohort nameCasesRelative Risk (RR)
22) George SM (2008)The NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study15,792RR = 0.99 (0.94-1.05; P = 0.059).
20) Takachi R (2007)The JPHC Study1,305HR = 1.14 (0.93-1.39; P = 0.29).
18) Boffetta P (2010)The EPIC Study21,000HR = 0.97 (0.92-1.02; P = 0.5).
11) Hung HC (2004)The Nurses' Health Study6,584RR = 1.02.
10) Cox BD (2000)The British HALS131Fruit in winter: OR = 0.87 (0.76-1.00; P = 0.052).
Fruit in summer: OR = 0.88 (0.75-1.02; P = 0.097).
2) Shibata A (1992)The Leisure World Study690RR = 0.76 (0.63-0.91; P = < 0.05).
Total number of cases: 45,502Average RR = 0.99


Prospective studies of total fruit and total cancer risk.
Stratified by smoking status:
AuthorCohort nameCasesRelative Risk (RR) for never smokersRelative Risk (RR) for past smokersRelative Risk (RR) for current smokers
20) Takachi R (2008)The JPHC Study1,631 never smokersHR = 1.12 (0.95-1.33; P = 0.83).--
18) Boffetta P (2010)The EPIC Study13,728 never smokers,

8,832 past smokers, and

7,388 current smokers
HR = 1.00 (0.99-1.01).HR = 0.99 (0.98-1.01).HR = 0.98 (0.97-1.00).
11) Hung HC (2004)The Nurses' Health Study

&

The Health Professionals' Follow-up Study
3,577 never smokers,

3,945 past smokers, and

1,694 current smokers
RR = 1.03 (0.94-1.12).RR = 0.97 (0.89-1.06).RR = 1.07 (0.94-1.22).
Average RR = 1.02Average RR = 0.98Average RR = 1.00

2) Total fruit and total cancer mortality

12 articles, providing information about 11 different cohorts were found including a total of > 5,052 cases (no data was available from 2 cohorts: Hung HC; 2004).
Significant protective effects were found in 2 cohorts, including 3,816 cases (4, 14), though in one cohort the association was significant for men only (4). In addition, a nonsignificant protective effect was found in a third cohort examining men only, and including 114 cases (6). No other associations were found. The effect was of moderate size (excluding incomplete data from Strandhagen E [9], and Hung HC [11]: Average RR = 0.88).

Conclusion: Significant protective effects were found in 2 cohorts. Within one cohort, an effect was found for daily vs less frequent consumption (4), and in the other one for (almost) daily consumption vs < 2 servings/wk (14), indicating that a protective effect may only be found compared with very low or infrequent consumption. Since no data about the amount of cancer cases was available from 2 cohorts, evidence was judged suggestive for a protective effect of total fruits against total cancer mortality for daily vs less frequent consumption (- 11%).

Prospective studies of total fruit and total cancer mortality:
AuthorCohort nameCasesSexRelative Risk (RR)
18) Nöthlings U (2008)The EPIC Study.319Men & WomenRR = 1.08 (0.98-1.19).
16) Khan MM (2004)No cohort name.155 men, and

89 women
Men & WomenMen: RR = 1.00 (0.6-1.6).

Women: RR = 1.1 (0.4-2.9).
14) Sauvaget C (2003)The Hiroshima/Nagasaki Life Span Study.3,136Men & WomenRR = 0.88 (0.80-0.96; P = 0.0044).
13) Maynard M (2003)The Boyd Orr Cohort.158Men & WomenOR = 0.73 (0.47-1.11; P = 0.17).
11) Hung HC (2004)The Nurses' Health Study & The Health Professionals' Follow-up Study.Not defined.Men & WomenNo significant association (no data shown).
9) Strandhagen E (2000)The Study Of Men Born In 1913121MenNo significant association (no data shown).
8) Whiteman D (1999)The OXCHECK Study.223Men & WomenRR = 0.91 (0.63-1.32).
6) Hertog MG (1996)The Caerphilly Study114MenRR = 0.5 (0.3-1.0).
5) Sahyoun NR (1996)No cohort name.57Men & WomenRR = 1.26 (0.53-2.99; P = 0.96).
4) Appleby PN (2002)The Health Food Shoppers Study.680Men & WomenMen: RR = 0.72 (0.56-0.93; P = < 0.05).

Women: 0.88 (0.68-1.13).
Total number of cases: 5,052 + XAverage RR = 0.88